经济学上所说的“沉没成本”,指那些已经付出、无论如何都无法收回的金钱、时间或精力。
In economics, the so-called 'sunk cost' refers to money, time, or effort that has already been expended and can in no way be recovered.
理性的原则很简单:做决定时应该只权衡未来的成本与收益,而不该被过去无法挽回的投入所左右。
The rational principle is simple: when making a decision, one should weigh only future costs and benefits, and should not be swayed by past investments that cannot be recovered.
然而,人的心理却往往背离这一原则,越是投入巨大,越舍不得半途放弃,仿佛“弃之可惜”才是唯一的选择。
However, human psychology often departs from this principle — the greater the investment, the more reluctant people are to give it up halfway, as if 'it would be a pity to abandon it' were the only option.
譬如,有人花高价买了一张电影票,即使发现影片枯燥乏味,也宁愿硬撑着看完,只因“钱已经花了”。
For example, someone who has paid a high price for a movie ticket, even upon discovering the film is dull and tedious, would rather force themselves to sit through it, simply because 'the money is already spent.'
这种心态同样体现在感情与事业中:许多人明知关系或工作早已名存实亡,却因投入多年心血而骑虎难下。
This same mentality shows up in relationships and careers: many people clearly know a relationship or job has long existed in name only, yet because they have invested years of effort, they find themselves unable to let go.
更极端的例子是企业面对注定失败的项目:管理层不是及时止损,而是不断追加预算,妄图靠“再投入一点”扭转局面。
An even more extreme example is when a company faces a project doomed to fail: rather than promptly cutting its losses, management keeps adding more budget, vainly hoping that 'investing just a bit more' will turn things around.
这样的结局往往得不偿失,甚至让企业因执迷不悟而错失转型的良机。
Such outcomes are often not worth the cost, and can even cause a company, through sheer stubbornness, to miss the golden opportunity to transform.
归根结底,这种执着并非源于理性的权衡,而是源于人类天生的损失厌恶:承认损失带来的痛苦,远比继续拖延的代价更让人难以面对。
In the final analysis, this persistence stems not from rational calculation but from humanity's innate loss aversion: the pain of admitting a loss feels far greater than the cost of continuing to delay.
真正的智慧,不在于紧抓过去不放,而在于清醒地认识到覆水难收,进而及时止损,将目光投向未来。
True wisdom lies not in clinging tightly to the past, but in clearly recognizing that spilled water cannot be retrieved, and then promptly cutting one's losses and turning one's gaze toward the future.
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Key words 生词
沉没成本chénmò chéngběnsunk cost
骑虎难下qí hǔ nán xiàstuck with no way to back out
得不偿失dé bù cháng shīnot worth the loss incurred
名存实亡míng cún shí wángexist in name only
损失厌恶sǔnshī yànwùloss aversion
覆水难收fù shuǐ nán shōuspilled water cannot be retrieved
Grammar note 语法点
越……越……
Expresses a proportional relationship: 'the more..., the more...'. E.g. 越努力,越幸运 (the harder you work, the luckier you get).
越是投入巨大,越舍不得半途放弃。
不是……而是……
Used to correct or contrast two possibilities: 'not X, but rather Y'. E.g. 他不是不想帮忙,而是没有时间 (He's not unwilling to help, but rather has no time).
管理层不是及时止损,而是不断追加预算。
Check yourself 小测验
1. According to the passage, what is the rational principle for decision-making regarding sunk costs?
2. In the movie ticket example, why does the person keep watching the boring film?
3. According to the passage, what does true wisdom consist of, as opposed to loss aversion?
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